Tom’s Blog

How do the last two years compare to the worst sequences of return in history?

I’ve been encouraged about returns to date for this year and the outlook for our economy, but 2022 was a really bad year. Stocks and bonds combined for the roughly the fifth worst portfolio return in history. We rebounded in 2023 and are doing well

We’re really within 3% of the prior peak for stocks in November 2021.

We’re within 3% of the inflation-adjusted peak for stocks in November 2021. This is a sharp change from my post at the two-year mark, when I concluded we had to see a real increase of 25% to get back to that peak. Wow. I’m

The latest inflation release confirms the high rate in January

Two months ago, it looked like we were clearly headed to 2% inflation. November inflation, using the measure favored by the Federal Reserve was the lowest in four years. The inflation rate for January was issued yesterday and confirmed a reading earlier in the month.

How much more do you keep from investments in your retirement accounts?

I calculate that you gain at least 20% on the money you invest in retirement accounts relative to the same investment in a taxable investment account. I used a 25-year holding-period for your investment: if you are in the Save and Invest phase of life,

Does it make sense to convert your IRA to Roth in Retirement?

I subscribe to a stock market newsletter. This month it had an article with the same title as this post, Does it make sense to convert your IRA to Roth in Retirement? I found the article confusing and incorrect. The decision on Roth conversion is

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