Tom’s Blog

Inflation was a hot topic in the news this week: pointing to +4% annual rate.

Inflation was a hot topic the last two days. The last three months are running at an annual rate at more than 4% inflation. This post shows six graphs I use to follow the inflation trends. We get the last report for inflation for March

Is it best to hold international stocks in a taxable or tax deferred account?

This was an interesting article at Morningstar: Should You Keep Foreign Stocks Out of Your IRA? Tax considerations suggest yes…. There is an added tax wrinkle with international stocks or funds, but I conclude the opposite: the tax considerations CLEARLY say it’s preferable to

Should we lose faith in bonds as valuable insurance to protect our portfolio?

I view the bonds we retirees hold as a form of insurance – downside protection. We need to sell from our portfolio each year for our spending. We don’t want to sell stocks when they’ve taken a deep dive. Selling stocks then for our spending

How do the last two years compare to the worst sequences of return in history?

I’ve been encouraged about returns to date for this year and the outlook for our economy, but 2022 was a really bad year. Stocks and bonds combined for the roughly the fifth worst portfolio return in history. We rebounded in 2023 and are doing well

We’re really within 3% of the prior peak for stocks in November 2021.

We’re within 3% of the inflation-adjusted peak for stocks in November 2021. This is a sharp change from my post at the two-year mark, when I concluded we had to see a real increase of 25% to get back to that peak. Wow. I’m

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