Last week I read this article “The Long-Term Forecast for US Stock Returns = 7.5%”. The article assumes 2.5% future inflation. That means the forecast translates to ~5% real return for stock vs. the historical average of ~7%. That’s 30% lower ((5-7)/7). I

Several of my friends have separated from their financial advisors and became a self-reliant investor. It’s pretty simple for us nest eggers, since our total portfolio is only four index funds. I have never hired a financial advisor for our money. But I separated this

The capital gains tax rate is really is more than 15%, because the calculation of gain does not adjust your cost basis for inflation. When you pay tax on capital gains, you are paying tax on the real component of gain and on the inflation

I went CRAZY this week thinking about PSERS – Pennsylvania’s School Employees Retirement System. I wrote about PSERS two weeks ago, but I couldn’t get it out of my head this week. Why? PSERS is committed to an investment strategy that we nesteggers would

I posted last week about the latest calculation of 4.2% annual rate of inflation, May 2020 to May 2021. This is greater than the Federal Reserve’s long-term objective of expectations of annual inflation to be “well anchored at 2 percent”. Is 2 percent a reasonable

We all have read about recent increases in inflation; the annual inflation rate in April was 4.2%, the highest in 13 years. How concerned should we be? The purpose of this post is to simply remind us of how bad inflation was in the period

This article in the New York Times (FBI Asking Questions After a Pension Fund Aimed High and Fell Short) prompted me to look at the performance results for Pennsylvania’s Public Schools Employees’ Retirement System (PSERS) pension fund. What a mess, and I CANNOT

With proper use of a Roth IRA, retirees with higher retirement income can avoid paying taxes that they just don’t need to pay. This post describes how to use your Roth IRA to avoid paying tax of about $850 per year (single taxpayer) or $1,700

I updated my summary of our financial retirement plan a couple of weeks ago. I show our original written plan in Appendix B in Nest Egg Care (NEC), and I displayed my summary 3 X 5 card from December 2014 on the last

This week I listened to two talks by Jeff Hawkins, author of a new book, One Thousand Brains. I haven’t read the book yet. The talks are here and here. My summary is that the thinking part of our brain builds models of