Tom’s Blog

What’s in the inflation report to cause the market to JUMP?

New data on inflation came out yesterday, and US stocks jumped +5.7%. WOW! That’s the third month with big changes on the day of the monthly report on inflation. The jump for stocks in October was +2.5% and the dive was -4.5% in September. This

How long might it take for stocks to recover?

For the ten months of 2022, the real return for US stocks is about -23%. If this is result for the whole year, 2022 would clearly rank in the worst ten years since 1926 and close to the worst five. This is not a different

How much did tax schedules adjust for inflation?

Last week the news reported that the IRS announced the tax schedules for 2023 and some reports stated, “Some will be able to keep more money.” I think you’ve got this: this last statement isn’t true. Accurate inflation adjustment of the tax tables mean that

Should we lower spending to buy a bit more time for our portfolio to recover?

We can’t control what happens to stock and bond markets. We had no control in 2020 and 2021 when US stocks soared +20% each year, and we have no control over the 25% decline this year. But when the market declines we have the urge

What’s the news on inflation?

New data on inflation came out yesterday, and the US stocks jumped about +2.5%. I have no idea why, but I’ll take it: last month stocks dropped about 4% on what looks like very similar news to me. This post summarizes the inflation data: 1)

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